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Clinical Question
Does vitamin D supplementation prevent cardiovascular events or cancer in patients without known vascular disease or cancer?
Bottom line
Vitamin D supplementation does not prevent cardiovascular events or cancer in mostly nondiabetic adults (men 50 years and older, women 55 years and older). 1b
Reference
Study design: Randomized controlled trial (double-blinded)
Funding: Government
Setting: Population-based
Synopsis
Vitamin D deficiency is associated with many bad things including cancer, vascular disease, and dementia. This study is the first adequately powered US trial of vitamin D supplementation for primary prevention. It was designed as a factorial trial, with patients randomized to receive vitamin D 2000 IU or placebo, and to receive marine n-3 fatty acids (also known as omega-3 fatty acids) or placebo. The n-3 fatty acid results are reported separately. The researchers recruited a total of 25,871 men 50 years and older and women 55 years and older who had no history of cardiovascular disease or cancer. The groups were balanced at the start of the study, with a mean age of 67 years, 51% women, approximately 20% African Americans, and 14% with diabetes. Participants began with a 3-month placebo run-in period to exclude those who were noncompliant (approximately one-third overall), which could overestimate the potential benefit seen in clinical practice. Of the participants, 12% had a vitamin D level less than 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) and 45% had a level less than 30 ng/mL (75 nmol/L). At the end of the median follow-up of 5.3 years, there was no difference in any the trial endpoints (cardiovascular events, cardiovascular deaths, incident cancer, cancer deaths, or all-cause mortality). There was a small reduction in cancer deaths (112 vs 149; hazard ratio 0.75; 95% CI 0.59 - 0.96), but that was only seen in the post hoc analysis that excluded events in the first 2 years with the rationale that any effect would take time to become apparent. Given the large number of comparisons made (19 in one table alone) this outcome could easily have occurred by chance. Results were similar for the subgroup of patients with lower vitamin D levels at baseline.
Reviewer
Mark H. Ebell, MD, MS
Professor
University of Georgia
Athens, GA
Comments
This is why science is important
Once we looked more thoroughly at our extrapolations on Vitamin D (like several other vitamin) supplements, the hope evaporated -- this is such a victory for well-done science! Onto better solutions now -- other vitamin/supplements, smarter whole foods, better reductions in sedentariness, new technologies...
Only 5.3 years in older population
Should one expect a median of only 5.3 years of vit D supplementation to have a significant effect on an older population that had been vit D deficient for at least 50 years? How long is the genesis of cancer and heart disease anyway? Is 2000 iu the optimum dose and where in the "normal range" should the ideal or most preventive dose put you? Until these questions are answered, this study is incomplete and its conclusions doubtful. Let's see what happens after 10 year or 15 years.